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Group Stage - FIFA World Cup 2026

Belgium VS IR Iran

Los Angeles Stadium

21 June, 2026

Overview:

Belgium faces IR Iran in a 2026 World Cup Group G clash at SoFi Stadium. Belgium's elite squad depth clashes with Iran's resilient defense in a neutral-venue matchup amid geopolitical noise now resolved.

Recent H2H results: No recent H2H; Iran held Belgium 1-1 in 1998 WC

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Belgium.
Belgium to dominate possession and probe with wing play; Iran to sit deep, frustrate, and hit on breaks. Neutral turf favors Belgium's quality but Iran's organization could force draw.
Model reconciles market overpricing of Belgium (68-79%) with Octagon AI's bearish 45% via form integration, yielding conservative Belgium edge. Volatility reflects past tensions, now eased.

Last Update: 13-05-2026

Stats:

Belgium IR Iran
Expected Possession
62.5 37.5
Average Goals Per Match
2.1 1.2
Win Probability
52 21

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