Group Stage - FIFA World Cup 2026
Canada VS Qatar
BC Place Vancouver
18 June, 2026
Overview:
Canada hosts Qatar at BC Place in Vancouver on June 18, 2026, in FIFA World Cup Group B. Canada holds a significant edge with home advantage, recent 2-0 friendly win over Qatar, and 61% implied win probability from markets. Qatar faces an uphill battle as group outsiders.
Recent H2H results: Canada 2-0 Qatar (Friendly, Sep 2022)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-0 in favor of Canada.
Canada to dominate possession and press high, exploiting Qatar's backline. Qatar likely to sit deep, absorb pressure, and seek counters. Set pieces crucial for Canada.
Canada's home boost (+180 Elo equivalent), market consensus (61% win prob), and H2H edge outweigh Qatar's organization. Simulations favor Canada heavily.
Last Update: 13-05-2026
Stats:
| Canada | Qatar |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 58.5 | 41.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Win Probability | |
| 62 | 16 |
