Group Stage - FIFA World Cup 2026
Netherlands VS Japan
Dallas Stadium
14 June, 2026
Overview:
Netherlands face Japan in their 2026 World Cup Group F opener on June 14 at AT&T Stadium, Dallas. Netherlands are heavy favorites to win the group (55% implied probability across markets) and qualify (98%), but Japan poses a threat as 26-27% second favorites after recent form boost.
Recent H2H results: Netherlands 2-1 Japan (2022 WC)
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Netherlands.
Netherlands likely dominate possession with 4-3-3; Japan to sit deep, hit on break. Key: Dutch midfield control vs Japanese speed.
Markets (Kalshi 52-55% NED win, Dimers 51.7%) align with Netherlands edge in talent/depth, but Japan upset potential tempers probs.
Last Update: 13-05-2026
Stats:
| Netherlands | Japan |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 58.5 | 41.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Win Probability | |
| 53 | 22.5 |
