League Stage - UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid CF VS RB Leipzig
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium (Madrid, Spain)
21 October, 2026
Overview:
Real Madrid host RB Leipzig in Champions League Round 3. Madrid have six points from two matches and a goal difference of plus two, while Leipzig have three points and a goal difference of minus two. Current form and home advantage favor Madrid, although Leipzig remain capable of creating dangerous transitions.
Recent H2H results: Four meetings: Real Madrid won two, Leipzig won one, and one was drawn. Real Madrid lead goals scored 6-4; the latest meeting ended 1-1 at the Bernabeu on 6 March 2024.
Prediction:
Recent data and overall performance levels support a prediction of a final score of 2-1 in favor of Real Madrid CF.
Real Madrid should seek territorial control through midfield possession, then exploit Leipzig's defensive gaps with rapid combinations and wide rotations. Leipzig will likely press selectively and attack the space behind Madrid's full-backs. Madrid's rest-defense structure and protection against direct counters are decisive; an early Leipzig goal would materially increase draw risk.
Real Madrid's stronger recent results, home advantage, two wins from four historical meetings, and superior Champions League start outweigh Leipzig's counterattacking threat. Leipzig's ability to score in transition prevents a higher home-win probability.
Last Update: 19-10-2026
Stats:
| Real Madrid CF | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 57.00 | 47.00 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 2.83 | 2.33 |
| Win Probability | |
| 63.00 | 19.00 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Bayern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | PSG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Como 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Man United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Man City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Atleti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Real Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | PAE AEK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | RC Lens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 21 | Sabah FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 22 | Roma | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 22 | Shaktar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 24 | Fenerbahçe | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 25 | PSV | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 26 | Viking | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 27 | LASK | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Slavia Praha | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 32 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 34 | Galatasaray | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 35 | Sl. Bratislava | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodø/Glimt | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Tresoldi | BRU | ITA | 2 | 4 | N/A |
| E. Demirovic | VFB | BOS | 1 | 3 | N/A |
| F. Torres | PSG | SPA | 1 | 3 | N/A |
| H. Kane | FCB | ENG | 2 | 3 | 1 |
