Round 38 - Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur VS Everton FC
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
24 May, 2026
Overview:
Premier League Round 38 meeting at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium between Tottenham Hotspur and Everton FC. The matchup is modeled as a slight home edge for Spurs, with Everton carrying enough counter-attacking threat to keep the draw and away-win outcomes live.
Recent H2H results: Tottenham lead overall H2H
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Tottenham Hotspur.
Tottenham are expected to control more of the ball and push territory, while Everton will likely defend in a mid-to-low block and target transitions. The balance of possession, home-field edge, and Spurs’ slightly superior attacking output favors Tottenham, but Everton’s counter threat and draw-friendly profile reduce certainty.
Historical head-to-head trends and current-form indicators point to a narrow Tottenham advantage. The model weights home advantage and chance creation slightly above Everton’s defensive organization, producing a Spurs win as the most likely outcome with a meaningful draw probability.
Last Update: 21-05-2026
Stats:
| Tottenham Hotspur | Everton FC |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 52 | 48 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Win Probability | |
| 52.8 | 23.2 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Man United | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton Hove | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 36 | 27 | 8 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 38 | 22 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | MCI | GHA | 37 | 17 | 4 |
| O. Watkins | AVL | ENG | 37 | 16 | 3 |