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Round 38 - Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur VS Everton FC

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

24 May, 2026

Overview:

Premier League Round 38 meeting at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium between Tottenham Hotspur and Everton FC. The matchup is modeled as a slight home edge for Spurs, with Everton carrying enough counter-attacking threat to keep the draw and away-win outcomes live.

Recent H2H results: Tottenham lead overall H2H

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Tottenham Hotspur.
Tottenham are expected to control more of the ball and push territory, while Everton will likely defend in a mid-to-low block and target transitions. The balance of possession, home-field edge, and Spurs’ slightly superior attacking output favors Tottenham, but Everton’s counter threat and draw-friendly profile reduce certainty.
Historical head-to-head trends and current-form indicators point to a narrow Tottenham advantage. The model weights home advantage and chance creation slightly above Everton’s defensive organization, producing a Spurs win as the most likely outcome with a meaningful draw probability.

Last Update: 21-05-2026

Stats:

Tottenham Hotspur Everton FC
Expected Possession
52 48
Average Goals Per Match
1.7 1.2
Win Probability
52.8 23.2
Position Team Won Drawn Lost Points
1 Arsenal 26 7 5 85
2 Man City 23 9 6 78
3 Man United 20 11 7 71
4 Aston Villa 19 8 11 65
5 Liverpool 17 9 12 60
6 Bournemouth 13 18 7 57
7 Sunderland 14 12 12 54
8 Brighton Hove 14 11 13 53
9 Brentford 14 11 13 53
10 Chelsea 14 10 14 52
11 Fulham 15 7 16 52
12 Newcastle 14 7 17 49
13 Everton 13 10 15 49
14 Leeds United 11 14 13 47
15 Crystal Palace 11 12 15 45
16 Nottingham 11 11 16 44
17 Tottenham 10 11 17 41
18 West Ham 10 9 19 39
19 Burnley 4 10 24 22
20 Wolverhampton 3 11 24 20
Name Club Country Matches Goals Assists
E. Haaland MCI NOR 36 27 8
T. Rodrigues BRE BRA 38 22 1
A. Semenyo MCI GHA 37 17 4
O. Watkins AVL ENG 37 16 3

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