Round 38 - Premier League
Fulham FC VS Newcastle United
Craven Cottage
24 May, 2026
Overview:
Premier League Round 38 matchup between Fulham FC and Newcastle United projects as a tightly balanced contest, with Fulham’s home advantage offsetting Newcastle’s slightly stronger squad quality and more consistent chance creation. Current-market indicators and recent form suggest a low-margin game with both teams capable of scoring, but Newcastle hold a marginal edge in overall win probability. A draw remains a realistic outcome given the evenly matched profiles and late-season intensity.
Recent H2H results: Newcastle slight edge in recent meetings
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Newcastle United.
Fulham are likely to prioritize a compact shape, protect central zones, and attack in transitions and set pieces. Newcastle should seek to dominate territory, use wider overloads, and create through higher-tempo combinations. The key tactical battle is whether Fulham can disrupt Newcastle’s rhythm and force a lower-possession, lower-event match.
Fulham’s home advantage narrows the gap, but Newcastle’s superior attacking metrics and slightly better overall balance keep them as marginal favorites. The most likely game state is competitive and moderately open, with both teams generating enough chances to score. A narrow Newcastle win or draw is the most plausible outcome.
Last Update: 21-05-2026
Stats:
| Fulham FC | Newcastle United |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 49.5 | 50.5 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.35 | 1.55 |
| Win Probability | |
| 35 | 39 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Man United | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton Hove | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Haaland | MCI | NOR | 36 | 27 | 8 |
| T. Rodrigues | BRE | BRA | 38 | 22 | 1 |
| A. Semenyo | MCI | GHA | 37 | 17 | 4 |
| O. Watkins | AVL | ENG | 37 | 16 | 3 |