Overview:

La Liga Round 38 matchup between Villarreal CF and Atletico Madrid at Estadio de la Cerámica. Villarreal arrive with home advantage and strong attacking metrics, while Atletico bring superior defensive structure and late-season game-management experience. The fixture projects as tightly contested with moderate scoring expectation.

Recent H2H results: Balanced recent H2H; Villarreal and Atletico have produced mixed results, including a 2-2 draw and a 2-0 Atletico win in recent meetings.

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 2-1 in favor of Villarreal CF.
Expect Villarreal to push slightly higher at home with more possession, while Atletico likely stay compact, protect central lanes, and target transition moments. Set pieces and first-goal timing may heavily influence the game state.
Home advantage and Villarreal's attacking output slightly offset Atletico's defensive edge, but the matchup profile still favors a narrow, low-margin outcome with draw risk remaining high.

Last Update: 21-05-2026

Stats:

Villarreal CF	Atletico Madrid
Expected Possession
51	49
Average Goals Per Match
1.78	1.42
Win Probability
37	32

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Barça	31	1	6	94
2	Real Madrid	27	5	6	86
3	Villarreal	22	6	10	72
4	Atleti	21	6	11	69
5	Real Betis	15	15	8	60
6	Celta	14	12	12	54
7	Getafe	15	6	17	51
8	Rayo Vallecano	12	14	12	50
9	Valencia	13	10	15	49
10	Real Sociedad	11	13	14	46
11	Espanyol	12	10	16	46
12	Athletic	13	6	19	45
13	Sevilla FC	12	7	19	43
14	Alavés	11	10	17	43
15	Elche	10	13	15	43
16	Levante	11	9	18	42
17	Osasuna	11	9	18	42
18	Mallorca	11	9	18	42
19	Girona	9	14	15	41
20	Real Oviedo	6	11	21	29

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
K. Mbappé	RMA	FRA	31	25	4
V. Muriqi	MAL	KOS	37	23	1
A. Budimir	OSA	CRO	37	17	N/A
F. Torres	FCB	SPA	35	16	3

Villarreal CF VS Atletico Madrid

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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