Overview:

La Liga Round 38 matchup at Mendizorroza between CD Alavés and Rayo Vallecano. Late-season context typically increases tactical caution, but Rayo's recent edge in the matchup and higher league standing slightly tilt the projection away from a home win.

Recent H2H results: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alavés

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Rayo Vallecano.
Alavés are likely to prioritize structure and compactness at home, while Rayo should seek midfield superiority and quick vertical attacks. Set pieces and first-goal impact are important, with a low-to-moderate tempo expected.
Rayo's slightly stronger form profile, superior table position, and recent 1-0 H2H win make them marginally more likely to avoid defeat, though the home advantage keeps the draw and narrow home win in play.

Last Update: 21-05-2026

Stats:

CD Alaves	Rayo Vallecano
Expected Possession
47.2	52.8
Average Goals Per Match
1.08	1.22
Win Probability
31.5	37.5

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Barça	31	1	6	94
2	Real Madrid	27	5	6	86
3	Villarreal	22	6	10	72
4	Atleti	21	6	11	69
5	Real Betis	15	15	8	60
6	Celta	14	12	12	54
7	Getafe	15	6	17	51
8	Rayo Vallecano	12	14	12	50
9	Valencia	13	10	15	49
10	Real Sociedad	11	13	14	46
11	Espanyol	12	10	16	46
12	Athletic	13	6	19	45
13	Sevilla FC	12	7	19	43
14	Alavés	11	10	17	43
15	Elche	10	13	15	43
16	Levante	11	9	18	42
17	Osasuna	11	9	18	42
18	Mallorca	11	9	18	42
19	Girona	9	14	15	41
20	Real Oviedo	6	11	21	29

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
K. Mbappé	RMA	FRA	31	25	4
V. Muriqi	MAL	KOS	37	23	1
A. Budimir	OSA	CRO	37	17	N/A
F. Torres	FCB	SPA	35	16	3

CD Alaves VS Rayo Vallecano

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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