Round 38 - Serie A
Torino FC VS Juventus
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
24 May, 2026
Overview:
Serie A Round 38 derby at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, with Torino entering in mid-table form and Juventus still carrying stronger overall quality and historical edge. Torino have shown resilience at home, but Juventus remain the more efficient side in chance creation and defensive control, making the visitors slight favorites in a tense, lower-scoring matchup.
Recent H2H results: Juventus dominant overall; Torino unbeaten in last 5 H2H
Prediction:
Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of Torino 0-1 Juventus in favor of Juventus.
Torino are likely to stay compact, press selectively, and target transitions and set pieces. Juventus should control more of the ball, circulate patiently, and look to isolate Torino's back line with width and late midfield arrivals. The key battle is whether Torino can prevent Juventus from settling into sustained territory and whether Juventus can convert control into clear chances.
Historical head-to-head strongly favors Juventus, but Torino's recent derby competitiveness and home advantage increase draw risk. The model leans Juventus due to better overall quality, stronger away control, and more reliable scoring profile, though a narrow scoreline is most likely.
Last Update: 21-05-2026
Stats:
| Torino FC | Juventus |
|---|---|
| Expected Possession | |
| 47.8 | 52.2 |
| Average Goals Per Match | |
| 1.18 | 1.53 |
| Win Probability | |
| 26.4 | 43.5 |
| Position | Team | Won | Drawn | Lost | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 27 | 6 | 5 | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 23 | 7 | 8 | 76 |
| 3 | Roma | 23 | 4 | 11 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 5 | Milan | 20 | 10 | 8 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus | 19 | 12 | 7 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 15 | 14 | 9 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56 |
| 9 | Lazio | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese | 14 | 8 | 16 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 |
| 13 | Parma | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 9 | 15 | 14 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 17 | Lecce | 10 | 8 | 20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 10 | 20 | 34 |
| 19 | Verona | 3 | 12 | 23 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa | 2 | 12 | 24 | 18 |
| Name | Club | Country | Matches | Goals | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Martínez | INT | ARG | 33 | 17 | 6 |
| A. Douvikas | COM | GRE | 38 | 14 | 1 |
| D. Malen | ROM | NET | 18 | 14 | 2 |
| M. Thuram-Ulien | INT | FRA | 31 | 13 | 6 |