Overview:

Serie A Round 38 clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta at the Stadio Artemio Franchi projects as a tight, medium-scoring contest. Atalanta carry the stronger season-long underlying metrics, while Fiorentina’s recent momentum and home advantage keep the result highly competitive.

Recent H2H results: Balanced in recent Serie A meetings

Prediction:

Based on current form and stats, we expect a close contest with a final score of 1-2 in favor of Atalanta.
Atalanta are likely to control more of the ball and generate the higher chance volume, while Fiorentina will look to stay compact, press selectively, and attack in transition. The game profile favors a narrow margin and a scoreline with goals from both sides.
Atalanta’s superior underlying numbers slightly outweigh Fiorentina’s home edge and recent upset potential. The draw remains a serious outcome due to the closeness of the projected xG and both teams' ability to score.

Last Update: 21-05-2026

Stats:

ACF Fiorentina	Atalanta
Expected Possession
48.5	51.5
Average Goals Per Match
1.15	1.45
Win Probability
29	40

Position	Team	Won	Drawn	Lost	Points
1	Inter	27	6	5	87
2	Napoli	23	7	8	76
3	Roma	23	4	11	73
4	Como 1907	20	11	7	71
5	Milan	20	10	8	70
6	Juventus	19	12	7	69
7	Atalanta	15	14	9	59
8	Bologna	16	8	14	56
9	Lazio	14	12	12	54
10	Udinese	14	8	16	50
11	Sassuolo	14	7	17	49
12	Torino	12	9	17	45
13	Parma	11	12	15	45
14	Cagliari	11	10	17	43
15	Fiorentina	9	15	14	42
16	Genoa	10	11	17	41
17	Lecce	10	8	20	38
18	Cremonese	8	10	20	34
19	Verona	3	12	23	21
20	AC Pisa	2	12	24	18

Name	Club	Country	Matches	Goals	Assists
L. Martínez	INT	ARG	33	17	6
A. Douvikas	COM	GRE	38	14	1
D. Malen	ROM	NET	18	14	2
M. Thuram-Ulien	INT	FRA	31	13	6

ACF Fiorentina VS Atalanta

Overview:

Prediction:

Stats:

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